Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.039069e-01 4.087579e-01 0.530856 0.681294 0.859406 1.061392 1.305552
2025-12-07 1.733519e-01 2.986165e-01 0.468125 0.703722 1.012196 1.392347 1.885872
2025-12-14 9.496233e-02 2.167017e-01 0.409560 0.709689 1.138125 1.702410 2.475554
2025-12-21 4.738181e-02 1.522945e-01 0.350190 0.694572 1.226455 1.968102 3.030127
2025-12-28 2.428936e-02 1.144451e-01 0.316868 0.706085 1.347780 2.283672 3.669534
2026-01-04 1.104153e-02 8.431520e-02 0.283666 0.706706 1.447604 2.572063 4.285808
2026-01-11 3.682662e-03 5.757514e-02 0.243157 0.681765 1.498866 2.788354 4.808362
2026-01-18 8.753674e-04 3.935025e-02 0.211400 0.663435 1.554793 3.010916 5.346670
2026-01-25 1.322649e-04 2.864403e-02 0.193117 0.667238 1.647080 3.292542 5.981380
2026-02-01 1.132766e-07 1.813912e-02 0.165480 0.641253 1.679255 3.476997 6.474952
2026-02-08 NaN 1.436677e-02 0.161135 0.670129 1.817188 3.839817 7.252268
2026-02-15 NaN 9.887554e-03 0.147712 0.671477 1.899760 4.112864 7.898538
2026-02-22 NaN 8.584222e-03 0.151677 0.723188 2.091729 4.585110 8.880309
2026-03-01 NaN 6.643699e-03 0.148667 0.754327 2.243980 4.996404 9.779788
2026-03-08 NaN 4.504692e-03 0.139510 0.764610 2.352797 5.336814 10.576849
2026-03-15 NaN 2.494410e-03 0.124241 0.750711 2.407245 5.583085 11.229404
2026-03-22 NaN 1.571826e-03 0.117696 0.763924 2.522140 5.940858 12.071290
2026-03-29 NaN 8.375620e-04 0.108624 0.765121 2.608999 6.250204 12.840634
2026-04-05 NaN 2.758809e-04 0.093838 0.739012 2.628974 6.436827 13.411560
2026-04-12 NaN 6.263600e-05 0.082080 0.719746 2.662236 6.647967 14.027128
2026-04-19 NaN 1.202411e-05 0.076258 0.723843 2.752564 6.968941 14.833534
2026-04-26 NaN 1.600011e-10 0.064833 0.696354 2.760175 7.131769 15.375565
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.064997 0.726958 2.919612 7.591910 16.432865